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Top quark weighs in with unparalleled precision

A top-quark pair at the LHC

The CMS collaboration has substantially improved on its measurement of the top-quark mass. The latest result, 171.77 ± 0.38 GeV, presented at CERN on 5 April, represents a precision of about 0.22% – compared to the 0.36% obtained in 2018 with the same data. The gain comes from new analysis methods and improved procedures to consistently treat uncertainties in the measurement simultaneously.

As the heaviest elementary particle, precise knowledge of the top-quark mass is of paramount importance to test the internal consistency of the Standard Model. Together with accurate knowledge of the masses of the W and Higgs bosons, the top-quark mass is no longer a free parameter but a clear prediction of the Standard Model. Since the top-quark mass dominates higher-order corrections to the Higgs-boson mass, a precise measurement of the top mass also places strong constraints on the stability of the electroweak vacuum (see The Higgs and the fate of the universe). 

Since its discovery at Fermilab in 1995, the mass of the top quark has been measured with increasing precision using the invariant mass of different combinations of its decay products. Measurements by the Tevatron experiments resulted in a combined value of 174.30 ± 0.65 GeV, while the ATLAS and CMS collaborations measured 172.69 ± 0.48 GeV and 172.44 ± 0.48 GeV, respectively, from the combination of their most precise results from LHC Run 1 recorded at a centre-of-mass energy of 8 TeV. The latter measurement achieved a relative precision of about 0.28%. In 2019, the CMS collaboration also experimentally investigated the running of the top quark mass – a prediction of QCD that causes the mass to vary as a function of energy – for the first time at the LHC. 

The LHC produces top quarks predominantly in quark–antiquark pairs via gluon fusion, which then decay almost exclusively to a bottom quark and a W boson. Each tt event is classified by the subsequent decay of the W bosons. The latest CMS analysis uses semileptonic events – where one W decays into jets and the other into a lepton and a neutrino – selected from 36 fb–1 of Run 2 data collected at a centre-of-mass energy of 13 TeV. Five kinematical variables, as opposed to up to three in previous analy­ses, were used to extract the top-quark mass. While the extra information in the fit improved the precision of the measurement in a novel and unconventional way, it made the analysis significantly more complicated. In addition, the measurement required an extremely precise calibration of the CMS data and an in-depth understanding of the remaining experimental and theoretical uncertainties and their interdependencies. 

The final result, 171.77 ± 0.38 GeV, which includes 0.04 GeV statistical uncertainty, is a considerable improvement compared to all previously published top-quark mass measurements and supersedes the previously published measurement in this channel using the same data set. 

“The cutting-edge statistical treatment of uncertainties and the use of more information have vastly improved this new measurement from CMS,” says Hartmut Stadie of the University of Hamburg, who contributed to the result. “Another big step is expected when the new approach is applied to the more extensive dataset recorded in 2017 and 2018.”

Dead-cone effect exposed by ALICE

A charm quark in a parton shower

More than 30 years after it was predicted, a phenomenon in quantum chromodynamics (QCD) called the dead-cone effect has been directly observed by the ALICE collaboration. The result, reported in Nature on 18 May, not only confirms a fundamental feature of the theory of the strong force, but enables a direct experimental observation of the non-zero mass of the charm quark in the partonic phase.

In QCD, the dead-cone effect predicts a suppression of gluon bremsstrahlung from a quark within a cone centred on the quark’s flight direction. This cone has an angular size mq/E, where mq is the mass of the quark and E is its energy. The effect arises due to the conservation of angular momentum during the gluon emission and is significant for low-energy heavy-flavour quarks. 

The dead cone has been indirectly observed at particle colliders. A direct observation from the parton shower’s radiation pattern has remained challenging, however, because it relies on the determination of the emission angle of the gluon, as well as the emitting heavy-flavour quark’s energy, at each emission vertex in the parton shower (see “Showering” figure). This requires a dynamic reconstruction of the cascading quarks and gluons in the shower from experimentally accessible hadrons, which had not been possible until now. In addition, the dead-cone region can be obscured and filled by other sources such as the decay products of heavy-flavour hadrons, which must be removed during the measurement.

To observe the dead-cone effect directly, ALICE used jets tagged with a reconstructed D0-meson in a 25 nb–1 sample of pp collisions at a centre-of-mass-energy of 13 TeV collected between 2016 and 2018. The D0-mesons were reconstructed with transverse momenta between 2 and 36 GeV/c through their decay into a kaon and pion pair. Jet-finding was then performed on the events with the “anti-kT” algorithm, and jets with the reconstructed D0-meson amongst their constituents were tagged. The team used recursive jet-clustering techniques to reconstruct the gluon emissions from the radiating charm quark by following the branch containing the D0-meson at each de-clustering step, which is equivalent to following the emitting charm quark through the shower. A similar procedure was carried out on a flavour-untagged sample of jets, which contain primarily gluon and light-quark emissions and form a baseline where the dead-cone effect is absent.

Comparisons between the gluon emissions from charm quarks and from light quarks and gluons directly reveal the dead-cone effect through a suppression of gluon emissions from the charm quark at small angles, compared to the emissions from light quarks and gluons. Since QCD predicts a mass-dependence of the dead cones, the result also directly exposes the mass of the charm quark, which is otherwise inaccessible due to confinement. ALICE’s successful technique to directly observe a parton shower’s dead cone may therefore offer a way to measure quark masses.

The upgraded ALICE detector in LHC Run 3 will enable an extension of the measurement to jets tagged with a B+ meson. This will allow the reconstruction of gluon emissions from beauty quarks which, due to their larger mass, are expected to have a larger dead cone than charm quarks. Comparisons between the angular distribution of gluon emissions from beauty quarks and those from charm quarks will isolate mass-dependent effects in the shower and remove the contribution from effects pertaining to the differences between quark and gluon fragmentation, bringing deeper insights into the intriguing workings of the strong force.

Probing new physics with the Higgs boson

ATLAS figure 1

Due to its connection to the process of electroweak symmetry breaking, the Higgs boson plays a special role in the Standard Model (SM). Its properties, such as its mass and its couplings to fermions and bosons, have been measured with increasing precision. For these reasons, the Higgs boson has become an ideal tool to conduct new-physics searches. Prominent examples are direct searches for new heavy particles decaying into Higgs bosons or searches for exotic decays of the Higgs boson. Such phenomena have been predicted in many extensions of the SM motivated by long-standing open questions, including the hierarchy problem, dark matter and electroweak baryogenesis. Examples of new particles that couple to the Higgs boson are heavy vector bosons (as in models with Higgs compositeness or warped extra dimensions) and additional scalar particles (as in supersymmetric models or axion models).

Searches for resonances

The ATLAS collaboration recently released results of a search for a new heavy particle decaying into a Higgs and a W boson. The search was performed by probing for a localised excess in the invariant mass distribution of the ℓνbb final state. As no such excess was found, upper limits at 95% confidence level were set on the production-cross section times branching ratio of the new heavy resonance (figure 1). The results were also interpreted in the context of the heavy vector triplet (HVT) model, which extends the SM gauge group by an additional SU(2) group, to constrain the coupling strengths of heavy vector bosons to SM particles. In two HVT benchmark models, W′ masses below 2.95 and 3.15 TeV are excluded.

ATLAS figure 2

Rare or exotic decays are excellent candidates to search for weakly coupled new physics. The Higgs boson is particularly sensitive to such new physics owing to its narrow total width, which is three orders of magnitude smaller than that of the W and Z bosons and the top quark. Several searches for exotic decays of the Higgs boson have been carried out by ATLAS, and they may be broadly classified as those scenarios where the possible new daughter particle decays promptly to SM particles, and those where it would be long-lived or stable.

A recent search from ATLAS targeted exotic decays of the Higgs boson into a final state into four electrons or muons, which benefit from a very clean experimental signature. Although a signal was not observed, the search put stringent constraints on decays to new light scalar bosons – particularly in the low mass range of a few GeV – and to new vector bosons, dubbed dark Z bosons or dark photons, in the mass range up to a few tens of GeV. Depen­ding on the new-physics model, this search can exclude branching ratios of the Higgs boson to new particles as low as O(10–5).

Invisibles

Another interesting possibility is the case where the Higgs boson decays to particles that are invisible in the detector, such as dark-matter candidates. To select such events, different strategies are pursued depending on the particles produced in association with the Higgs boson. The most powerful channel for such a search is the vector-boson fusion production process, where two energetic jets from quarks are produced with large angular separation along­side the invisibly decaying Higgs boson (figure 2). Another sensitive channel is the associated production of a Higgs boson with a Z boson that decays to a pair of leptons. Improvements in background predictions have made it possible to reach a sensitivity down to 10% on the branching ratio of invisible Higgs-boson decays, while the corresponding observed limit amounts to 15%.

These searches will greatly benefit from the large datasets expected in Run 3 and later High-Luminosity LHC runs, and will enable searches for even more feeble couplings of new particles to the Higgs boson.

Upsilon suppression in heavy-ion collisions

CMS figure 1

The bound states of a heavy quark and its antiquark, called quarkonia, have long been regarded as ideal probes to study the quark–gluon plasma (QGP) formed in high-energy heavy-ion collisions. The golden signature is the suppression of their production yield in lead–lead (PbPb) collisions with respect to extrapolations from proton–proton (pp) collisions, caused by modifications of the binding potential in the QGP. The suppression of the different quarkonium states is expected to depend on their binding energies. Quarkonia can also be produced by recombination processes. The ϒ states (bound states of b quarks and antiquarks) are much less affected by recombination effects than charmonium states, given the very small probability that b quarks are produced. A comparison of their suppression patterns is particularly informative because of the different binding energies of the ϒ(1S), ϒ(2S) and ϒ(3S) states.

The suppression of quarkonium production is quantified via the nuclear modification factor RAA, defined as the ratio between the yield in nucleus–nucleus (AA) collisions and the yield extrapolated from pp data. Previous measurements of RAA for the ϒ mesons by experiments at RHIC and the LHC revealed a significant suppression of the ϒ(1S) state and a larger suppression for the ϒ(2S) state. However, these experiments could only set upper limits for the ϒ(3S) state due to its very low production yield. The CMS experiment recently changed this situation by presenting the first observation of the ϒ(3S) meson in heavy-ion collisions. The ϒ mesons are detected using their decay to two muons. The analysis used the large PbPb data sample collected in 2018 and extracted the ϒ(3S) signals from the large background of muon pairs by using a boosted decision tree algorithm.

The new RAA results are shown together with the previously published ϒ(1S) values as a function of the average number of nucleons participating in the PbPb collisions, <Npart> (figure 1). Collisions with larger <Npart> show a bigger overlap between the two nuclei, producing a larger and hotter QGP. As previously observed, the degree of suppression increases from peripheral to central collisions, i.e. as Npart increases, indicating a more substantial dissociation effect at higher QGP temperatures. The new ϒ(3S) suppression measurement completes the picture of suppression patterns for five different quarkonium states, which was started 35 years ago at the CERN SPS with the J/ψ and ψ(2S) results of NA38. The stage is set for a deeper understanding of deconfinement in the QGP.

X-ray polarisation probes extreme physics

Accretion disk around magnetar 4U 0142+61

X-ray astronomy has been around for more than 50 years and remains responsible for a wealth of discoveries. Astronomical breakthroughs have been the result of detailed measurements of the X-ray arrival time, direction and energy. But the fourth measurable parameter of X-rays, their polarisation, remains largely unexplored. Following the first rough measurements of a handful of objects in the 1970s by Martin Weisskopf and co-workers, there was a hiatus in X-ray polarimetry due to the complexity of the detection mechanism. In recent years, in parallel with the emergence of gamma-ray polarimetry, interest in the field has returned. Indeed, after some initial measurements using the Chinese–Italian PolarLight Cubesat launched in October 2018, X-ray polarimetry has reached full maturity with the launch of the first large-scale dedicated observatory in December 2021: the Imaging X-ray Polarimetry Explorer (IXPE), a joint project by NASA and the Italian Space Agency, led by Weisskopf.

The IXPE mission uses gas pixel detectors to measure the polarisation for a range of astronomical sources in the 2-8 keV energy range. Incoming X-rays are absorbed in a gas which results in the emission of a photoelectron, the azimuthal emission direction of which is correlated with the polarisation vector of the incoming photon. Tracking the path of the electron therefore allows the polarisation to be inferred. Accurately measuring the emission direction of the low-energy photoelectron, especially in a space-based detector, has been one of the main IXPE challenges and required decades of detector development. 

X-ray polarimetry has reached full maturity with the launch of the first large-scale dedicated observatory

IXPE has already observed a range of sources. Its first public results, posted on arXiv on 18 May, concern a magnetar, a highly magnetic neutron star, called 4U 0142+61, which rotates around its axis in about 8 s and has a magnetic field of 1010 T. IXPE’s first ever measurement of polarised emission from a magnetar in the X-ray region shows this extreme object to have an energy-integrated polarisation degree of 12%, while in the thermal (2–4 keV) range this is about 12%, and as high as 41% for emission at higher energies (5.5–8 keV). The polarisation angles of the two emission components are orthogonal. 

The results appear to agree best with a model where the thermal emission stems from a condensed iron atmosphere: the higher energy emission would be a result of some thermal photons being up-scattered to higher energies when interacting with charged particles following the magnetic field lines. However, since other models link the emission to a gaseous atmosphere heated by a constant bombardment of particles, measurements of additional magnetars are needed.

Fundamental physics

Apart from providing novel insights into neutron-star properties, time-resolved studies of the emission during the rotation period hints at more fundamental physics at play. The spectral profile of 4U 0142+61 was found to be rather constant during the rotation, indicating that the emission does not come from hot-spots, such as the poles, but rather from a large area on the surface. As the magnetic field over such a large area would, however, be expected to vary significantly, so would the polarisation angle of the emitted X-rays. As a result, the net polarisation seen on Earth would largely be blurred out, resulting in a much lower polarisation degree than is observed. 

An intriguing explanation for this, note the authors, is vacuum birefringence – an effect predicted to be important in the presence of extreme magnetic fields, but which has never been observed. While for the magnetar the polarisation angle of the emission varies with the emission location, it gets altered as the photons travel through the strong magnetic field in which continuous electron–positron pairs affect their propagation. Only when the magnetic field is weak enough, at around 100 times the radius of the star, does the polarisation angle get frozen. Since this angle is aligned with the magnetic field, which at this point is smoother, the emission will realign the emission travelling towards Earth and allow for a net polarisation.

Although the polarisation degrees measured by IXPE are not high enough to definitively prove vacuum birefringence, the results give a clear hint. Furthermore, the measurements of 4U 0142+61 are only the first of many performed by the IXPE team. Throughout the coming months, detailed measurements of galactic objects such as the Crab Nebula, as well as extra-galactic sources, are predicted to be released. Among these objects there will be other magnetars, the X-ray emission from which will soon bring further understanding of these extreme objects and potentially confirm the existence of vacuum birefringence.

Higgs Hunting

The origin of electroweak symmetry breaking is one of the central topics of research in fundamental physics. The discovery of a Higgs boson at CERN on 4 July 2012, following a hunt that spanned several decades and multiple colliders, changed the landscape of these investigations and provided key evidence for the Brout–Englert–Higgs mechanism of mass generation through the spontaneous breaking of Electroweak symmetry.

Almost ten years later, the hunt goes on several fronts, in particular for:

  • New physics through precision studies of the properties of the Higgs boson: in particular its mass, spin and couplings to other Standard Model particles.
  • New production and decay modes, in particular in processes involving multiple Higgs bosons which provide key insight into the shape of the Higgs potential.
  • New Higgs-like states and signals for physics beyond the Standard Model.

The 12th workshop of the Higgs Hunting series organised on 12–14 September 2022 will present an overview of these topics, focusing in particular on new developments in the LHC Run-2 analyses, detailed studies of Higgs boson properties and possible deviations from Standard Model predictions. Highlights will also include a first look at LHC Run-3 analyses, prospects from studies at future colliders, and recent theoretical developments.

Thermonuclear explosions fuel cosmic rays

The RS Ophiuchi outburst

Normally, RS Ophiuchi is a faint astronomical object at a distance of about 5000 light years from Earth. Once every 15 years or so, however, it brightens dramatically to the point it becomes visible to the naked eye, only to disappear again within several days. This object, classified as a recurrent nova, is not a single star but rather a binary system consisting of a white dwarf and a red giant. Due to the proximity of the white dwarf to its massive companion, it slowly accumulates matter from which it forms a thin atmospheric-like layer on its surface. Over time, this atmosphere becomes denser and heats up until it reaches a critical temperature of around 20 million K. The thermonuclear explosion initiated at this temperature rapidly spreads across the dwarf’s surface, causing all the remaining material to be blown away. This process, which in the case of RS Ophiuchi occurs between every 9 to 26 years, makes the object visible in the optical region. However, the process has also been theorised to be capable of producing cosmic rays.

Bipolar shape

The first recorded explosion on RS Ophiuchi was in 1898 after it was discovered in optical images by Williamina Fleming in 1905. A more recent explosion in 2006 was observed in detail by Hubble, while the last one occurred in August 2021. Hubble’s 2006 images show a shock wave propagating from the object. The shock, which is originally radially symmetric, gets distorted by the gas present in the orbital plane of the binary system. This gas slows down the shock in the orbital plane, leading to a final bipolar shape capable of accelerating electrons and hadrons to high energies. These accelerated charged particles can reach Earth in the form of cosmic rays, but due to the influence of magnetic fields it is not possible to directly trace these back to the source. The high-energy gamma rays produced by some of these cosmic rays, on the other hand, do point directly to the source. Gamma rays formed in this way during the 2021 explosion have recently been used by the H.E.S.S. collaboration to test cosmic-ray acceleration models. 

After the initial detection of the brightening of the source in optical wavelengths, the ground-based H.E.S.S. facility in Namibia pointed its five telescopes (which are sensitive to the Cherenkov light emitted as TeV gamma rays induce showers in the atmosphere) to the source. In parallel, the space-based Fermi–LAT telescope, which directly detects gamma rays in the ~100 MeV to ~500 GeV energy range, observed the target for a duration of several weeks. The emission measured by both telescopes as a function of time shows the maximum energy flux as measured by Fermi–LAT peaking about one day after the peak in optical brightness. For H.E.S.S., which covered the 250 GeV to 2.5 TeV energy range, the peak only occurred three days after the optical peak, indicating a significant hardening of the emission spectrum with time.

Hadronic origin

These results match what would be expected from a hadronic origin of these gamma rays. The shock wave produced by the thermonuclear explosion is capable of accelerating charged particles every time they traverse the shock. Magnetic fields, which are in part induced by some of the accelerated hadrons themselves, trap the charged particles in the region, thereby allowing these to traverse the shock many times. Some of the hadrons collide with gas in the surrounding medium to produce showers in which neutral pions are produced, which in turn produce the gamma rays detected on Earth. The maximum energy of these gamma rays is about an order of magnitude lower than the hadrons that induced the showers. This implies that one day after the explosion, hadrons had been accelerated up to 1 TeV, producing the photons detected by Fermi–LAT, while it took an additional two days for the source to further accelerate such hadrons up to the 10 TeV required to produce the emission visible to H.E.S.S. These timescales, as well as the measured energies, match with the theoretical predictions for sources with the same size and energy as RS Ophiuchi.

The results show a clear correlation between the theoretical predictions of hadronic production of gamma rays by recurring novae

The results, published in Science by the H.E.S.S. collaboration, show a clear correlation between the theoretical predictions of hadronic production of gamma rays by recurring novae. The alternative theory of a leptonic origin of the gamma rays is more difficult to fit due to the relatively large fraction of the shock energy that would need to be converted into electron acceleration. The measurements form an almost direct way to test models of the origin of cosmic rays and thereby add several important pieces to the puzzle of cosmic-ray origins. 

The search for new physics: take three

An ATLAS mono-jet event

Aside from the discovery of the Higgs boson, the absence of additional elementary-particle discoveries is the LHC’s main result so far. For many physicists, it is also the more surprising one. Such further discoveries are suggested by the properties of the Higgs boson, which are now established experimentally to a large extent. The Higgs boson’s low mass, despite its susceptibility to quantum corrections from heavy particles that should push it orders-of-magnitude higher, and its hierarchy of coupling strengths to fermions present extreme, “unnatural” values that so far lack an explanation. Therefore, searches for new physics at the TeV energy scale remain strongly motivated, irrespective of the no-show so far. 

Naturalness has triggered the development of many new-physics models, but the large extent of their parameter space allows them to evade exclusion again and again. Whereas the discoveries of the past decades, including that of the Higgs boson, were driven by precise quantitative predictions, the search for physics beyond the Standard Model (SM) simply requires more perseverance.

LHC Run 3 will bring long-awaited new insights to the question of naturalness with respect to Higgs physics, as well as to many other SM puzzles such as the nature of dark matter or the cosmological matter–antimatter asymmetry. With considerably more data and a slightly higher centre-of-mass energy than at Run 2, in addition to new triggers and improved event reconstruction and physics-analysis techniques, a significant increase in sensitivity compared to the current results will be achieved. Searches for new phenomena with Run 3 data will also benefit from a much improved definition of the physics targets, thanks to information gathered during Run 2 and the various anomalies observed at lower energies.

The story so far

During the past 12 years, a broad search programme has emerged at the LHC in parallel with precision measurements (see “Pushing the precision frontier”). Initially, the most favoured new-physics scenario was supersymmetry (SUSY), a new fermion–boson symmetry that gives rise to supersymmetric partners of SM particles and naturally leads to a light Higgs boson close to the masses of the W and Z bosons. SUSY is expected to produce events containing jets and missing transverse energy (MET), the study of which at Run 2 placed exclusion limits on gluino masses as high as 2.3 TeV. More challenging searches for stop quarks, with background processes up to a million times more frequent than the predicted signal, were also performed thanks to the excellent performance of the ATLAS and CMS detectors. Yet, no signs of stops have been found up to a mass of 1.3 TeV, excluding a sizeable fraction of the SUSY parameter space suggested by naturalness arguments. Further SUSY searches were performed, including those for only weakly interacting SUSY particles (“electroweakinos”), where the Run 2 data allowed the experiments to surpass the sensitivity achieved by LEP in some scenarios. Half a century since SUSY was first proposed, ATLAS and CMS have demonstrated that the simplest models containing TeV-scale sparticle masses are not realised in nature (see “Stop quarks and electroweakinos” figure).

Stop quarks and electroweakinos

In fact, a large number of new-physics searches during LHC Run 1 and Run 2 targeted models other than SUSY, many of which also address the question of naturalness. Signs of extra spatial dimensions have been searched for in “mono-jet” events containing a single energetic jet and large MET, which could be caused by excited gravitons propagating in a higher dimensional space. Searches for vector-like quarks, as suggested by models with a composite Higgs boson, covered numerous complex final states with decays into all of the heavier known elementary particles. In these and other searches, the Higgs boson has entered the experimental toolkit, for example via the identification of high-momentum Higgs-boson decays reconstructed as large-radius jets.

The Higgs sector itself has been the subject of new-physics searches. These target additional Higgs bosons that would arise from an extended Higgs sector and exotic decays of the known Higgs boson, for instance into weakly interacting massive particles (WIMPs), which are candidates for dark matter. Improvements in both theoretical and data-driven background determinations have also allowed searches for Higgs-boson decays into invisible particles, with the Run 2 dataset setting an upper limit of 10% on their rate.

Searches for dark matter also continued to be performed in traditional channels, for example via the mono-jet signature. To increase the accuracy of this search using the full Run 2 statistics, theorists contributed differential background predictions that go beyond the next-to-leading order in perturbation theory to achieve an unprecedented background uncertainty of only 3% at MET values above 1 TeV. The resulting constraints on WIMP dark matter are complementary to those achieved with ultrasensitive detectors deep underground as well as astroparticle experiments. The absence of dark-matter signals in such established search channels led to the development of new models that predict a number of relevant but previously unexplored signatures.

LHC Run 3 will allow searches to go significantly beyond the sensitivity achieved with the Run 2 data 

In several respects, searches for new physics at the LHC experiments have gone well beyond what was foreseen at the time of their design. “Scouting” data streams were introduced to store small-size event records suitable for di-jet and di-muon resonance searches such that recording rates could be increased by up to two orders of magnitude within the available bandwidth. Consequently, the mass reach of these searches was extended to lower values whereas previously this was impossible due to the high background rates at low masses. Long-lived particle searches also opened a new frontier, motivating proposals for new LHC detectors.

Overall, LHC Run 1 and Run 2 led to an enormous diversification of new-physics searches at the energy frontier by ATLAS and CMS, with complementary searches conducted by LHCb targeting lower invariant masses. The absence of new-physics signals despite the exploration of a multitude of signatures with unforeseen precision is a strong experimental result that feeds back to the phenomenology community to shape this programme further. While the analysis of Run 2 data is still ongoing, the experience gained so far in terms of experimental techniques and investigated signatures puts the experimental collaborations in a better position to search for new physics at Run 3.

Experimental improvements

LHC Run 3 will allow searches to go significantly beyond the sensitivity achieved with the Run 2 data. ATLAS and CMS are expected to collect datasets with an integrated luminosity of up to 300 fb–1, adding to the 140 fb–1 collected in Run 2. Taking into account the additional, smaller benefit provided by the increase in the centre-of-mass energy from 13 to 13.6 TeV, new-physics search sensitivities will generally increase by a factor of two in terms of cross sections. Additional gains in sensitivity will result from the exploration of new territory in several respects.

Already at the level of data acquisition, significant improvements will increase the sensitivity of searches. The CMS higher level trigger system has been reinforced using graphics processing units to increase the recording rate in the data scouting stream from 9 to 30 kHz. ATLAS has extended this technique to encompass more final states, including photons and b-jets. These techniques extend the sensitivity to hadronic resonances with low masses and weak coupling strengths to a domain that has never been probed before.

Mass exclusions for spin-1 leptoquarks

The particularly challenging searches for new long-lived particles will also benefit from experimental advances. ATLAS has improved the reconstruction of displaced tracks, reducing the amount of fake tracks by a factor of 20 at similar efficiencies compared to the current data analysis. New, dedicated triggers have been developed by ATLAS and CMS to identify electrons, muons and tau-leptons displaced from the primary interaction vertex. These trigger developments will allow the collection of signal candidate events at unprecedented rates, for example to test exotic Higgs-boson decays into long-lived particles with branching ratios far below the current experimental limits. 

Likewise, ongoing developments in machine learning will contribute to the Run 3 search programme. While Run 1 physics analyses used generic, simple algorithms to distinguish between hypotheses, in Run 2 more powerful approaches of deep learning were introduced. For Run 3 their development continues, using a multitude of different algorithms tailored to the needs of event reconstruction and physics analysis to increase the reach of new-physics searches further.

New signatures

The Run 3 data will also be scrutinised in view of final states that either have been proposed more recently or that require a particularly large dataset. Examples of the latter are searches for electroweakinos, which have a production cross-section at the LHC at least two orders of magnitude smaller than strongly interacting SUSY particles. First results based on Run 2 data surpassed the sensitivity of the LEP experiments, including tests of unconventional “R-parity violating” scenarios in which electroweakinos can decay into only SM particles. This results in complicated final states containing electrons, muons and many jets but relatively low MET. Here, the challenging background determination could only be achieved thanks to machine-learning techniques, which lay the ground for further searches for particularly rare and challenging SUSY signals at Run 3.

If R-parity is not a symmetry, SUSY does not provide a WIMP dark-matter candidate. Among alternative explanations of the nature of this substance, models with bound-state dark matter are gaining increasing attention. In this new approach, strong interactions similar to quantum chromodynamics determine the particle spectrum in a dark sector that includes stable dark-matter candidate particles such as dark pions. At the LHC, coupling between such dark-sector particles and known ones would result in “semi-visible” jets comprising both types of particle (traditional dark-matter searches at the LHC have avoided such events to reduce background contributions). With the Run 2 data, CMS has already provided the very first collider constraints on these dark sectors, and more results from both ATLAS and CMS will follow in this and other proposed dark-sector scenarios.

Multiple deviations from the SM observed at lower energies are starting to shape the search programme at the energy frontier. The long-standing anomaly in the magnetic moment of the muon has recently reached a significance of 4.2σ, motivating increased efforts in searching for possible causes. One is the pair-production of a supersymmetric partner of the muon, for which models fit the low-energy data if the mass of this “smuon” is below 1 TeV and hence within the reach of the LHC. Another is to look for vector-like leptons, which are suggested by consistent extensions of the SM apart from SUSY, using final states containing a large number of leptons.

Multiple deviations from the SM observed at lower energies are starting to shape the search programme at the energy frontier

Moreover, the anomalies in B-meson decays consistently reported by BaBar, Belle and LHCb (see “A flavour of Run 3 physics”) have a strong and growing impact on the Run 3 search programme. Explanations for these anomalies require new particles with TeV-scale masses to fit the size of the observed effects and a hierarchy of fermion couplings to fit the deviations from lepton-flavour universality. Intriguingly these two requirements happen to coincide with the two peculiarities of the Higgs boson. Particular attention is now given to leptoquark searches investigating several production and decay modes. ATLAS and CMS have already started to probe leptoquark models suggested by the B-meson anomalies using Run 2 data (see “Leptoquarks” figure). While the analysis of key channels is ongoing, Run 3 will allow the experiments to probe a large fraction of the relevant parameter space. Furthermore, consistent models of leptoquarks include more new particles, namely colour-charged and colour-neutral bosons, vector-like quarks and vector-like leptons. These predict a variety of new-physics signatures that will further shape the Run 3 search programme.

In summary, searches for new physics at Run 3 will bring significant gains in sensitivity beyond the benefit provided by the increased amount of data. In particular, potential explanations of the anomalies observed at lower energies will be tested. Assuming that these anomalies point to new physics, the relevant searches with Run 3 data have a good chance of finding the first deviations from the SM at the TeV energy scale. Such an outcome would be of the utmost importance for particle physics, strengthening the case for the proposed Future Circular Collider at CERN.

A flavour of Run 3 physics

Particle debris

The famous “November revolution” in particle physics in winter 1974 was sparked by the discovery of the charm quark by two independent groups at Brookhaven and SLAC. It signalled the existence of a second generation of fermions, and was therefore a milestone in establishing the Standard Model (SM). Less widely known is that, four years earlier, the Glashow–Iliopoulos–Maiani (GIM) mechanism had postulated the existence of the charm quark to explain the smallness of the K0 → μ+μ– branching fraction. In addition, in the summer of 1974, the puzzling smallness of the mass difference between neutral kaons, which was apparent from kaon mixing, led Gaillard and Lee to conclude, correctly, that the charm mass should be below 1.5 GeV. 

Many historical discoveries in particle physics have followed this pattern: a measurement in flavour physics generated a theoretical breakthrough, which in turn led to a direct discovery. The 1977 discovery of the beauty quark at Fermilab was a confirmation of the Cabibbo–Kobayashi–Maskawa (CKM) mechanism postulating the existence of three generations of fermions, which was put forward following the experimental discovery of CP violation in the kaon system in 1964. In 1987, hints of a surprisingly large value for the top-quark mass were inferred from the first measurement of B0-meson oscillations at the Argus experiment, and confirmed in 1995 by the discovery of the top quark at the Tevatron. 

This critical role of the flavour sector in particle physics is by no means accidental. Since new particles can contribute virtually via loops or box diagrams, precision measurements in flavour physics in tandem with precise theoretical predictions can provide sensitive probes to indirectly search for new particles or interactions at high energy scales. Could the historical role of flavour measurements in elucidating new-particle discoveries be about to repeat itself at the LHC? 

The flavour promise

Diagrams showing mixing and flavour transitions

Following the Higgs-boson discovery in 2012, the next target at the LHC was clear: to search for an indisputable sign of an eagerly awaited mass peak as a signature for a new particle beyond the SM. So far, however, it seems nature might have something else in store. To unearth the new physics that is strongly motivated to exist – to explain phenomena such as the arbitrary mass hierarchy of elementary particles, the matter–antimatter imbalance in the universe and the origin of the CKM matrix – we should also consider the historically successful route though flavour physics. 

Flavour processes are governed by loop diagrams such as “box” and “penguin” diagrams (see “Virtual production” figure), in which new heavy particles can contribute virtually and alter our expectations. The key word here is “virtually”. This peculiarity of quantum physics allows us to probe new physics at very high energy scales, even if the collision energy is not sufficient to produce new particles directly. Any significant discrepancy between flavour measurements and theoretical calculations would provide us with a valuable lead towards hidden new physics. 

Cooking up a storm

On the experimental side, the main ingredient required is a large sample of beauty and charm hadrons. This makes the LHC, and the LHCb experiment in particular, the ideal place to carefully test the flavour structure of the SM. Not only does the LHC have a record energy reach, it also combines a large production cross-section for beauty and charm hadrons with a very high instantaneous luminosity. There is one catch, however. Due to the nature of quantum-chromodynamics, a large number of hadrons are produced in proton–proton collisions, saturating the different sub-detectors (see “Asymmetric complexity” image). Flavour measurements require a full understanding of this complex event environment, which is a much more challenging task compared to that at e+e– colliders where only a low number of particles is produced in each collision.

Constraints on effective-field-theory coefficients relevant to flavour anomalies

Since the inauguration of the LHC, its four main experiments have discovered more than 50 new hadronic states. Most follow the expected pattern of the original quark model, whereas some are new forms of matter such as the doubly-heavy “tetraquark” Tcc+ or bound states of five quarks, the so-called pentaquarks, discovered by LHCb. Since the early planning of the LHC, the mission of the flavour community was to better understand the behaviour of beauty and charm quarks. Indeed, in 2019 LHCb was the first single experiment to observe the mixing and CP violation of neutral charm mesons. Similarly for beauty decays, the first observation of time-integrated and time-dependent CP-violating Bs decays was made at the LHC. The unique properties and structure of the CKM matrix connect seemingly unrelated flavour observables, most of which are accessible through B decays. Accurate flavour measurements thus simultaneously allow the CKM matrix to be probed, and precise theory predictions to be scrutinised.

Unturned stones 

Today, the LHC dominates the flavour sector, with an important parallel programme ongoing at Belle II in Japan. Between them, the LHC experiments have made the most precise measurement of matter–antimatter oscillations in the neutral B system, measured CP violation in B mesons, discovered rare B decays and determined CKM elements such as Vtb. So far no measurement has yielded a significant disagreement with SM expectations. However, some interesting hints have emerged, and a couple of stones have not yet been turned.

Since the inauguration of the LHC, its four main experiments have discovered more than 50 new hadronic states

A promising opportunity to probe physics beyond the SM arises through b → sℓℓ and b → cℓν transitions in various hadron decays. The latter proceed through tree-level transitions in processes that are abundant and well-understood: the decay is mediated by a charged W boson that changes the b quark into a c quark, emitting a lepton and an antineutrino. In b → sℓℓ processes, the quark flavour changes through the emission of a Z boson or a photon. This flavour-changing neutral-current process occurs through a higher order penguin diagram, and underlies a breed of suppressed and thus rare hadron decays. The SM makes a slew of precise predictions for flavour observables for both types of transitions. However, new-physics models include yet-unobserved particles that can potentially contribute virtually.

A number of flavour observables are particularly well predicted within the SM. Well-known examples are the lepton-flavour-universality observables R(K), which compare the decay rates of b → sℓℓ decays containing muons to those containing electrons, and R(D), which compares b → cℓν decay rates with muons and tau leptons in the final state. The theoretical precision for these ratios reach an impressive relative uncertainty of about 1%. But other measurable flavour quantities in these two transitions, such as absolute decay rates or angular observables, are more challenging due to the limited knowledge of gluon exchange between hadrons in the initial and final states. 

Precisions expected on ratios

Intriguingly, all b → sℓℓ flavour observables measured by the b-factories LHCb, Belle and BaBar, and also ATLAS and CMS, collectively, point in a similar direction away from SM predictions. This has led to speculation that new heavy particles are changing the rate of B-meson decays to different lepton flavours, violating the SM principle of lepton-flavour universality. The contributions of such particles are quantified “effectively” – similar to the way Fermi described weak decays in terms of a single coupling constant instead of the underlying W-boson propagator. New particles that contribute to B decays can affect many different types of couplings, depending on their spin or handedness. Remarkably, the current flavour anomalies seem to affect only one or two effective couplings (left-handed vector and axial couplings, known as C9 and C10), and these can be visualised in a single two-dimensional plane of new-physics contributions (see “New couplings” figure). Data from b → cℓν transitions also exhibit hints for anomalous lepton-flavour non-universality.

The picture that seems to be emerging could be explained by models that involve leptoquarks or Z′ bosons (CERN Courier May/June 2019 p33). The flavour anomalies measured at the LHC disagree with the SM at the level of 2–3.5σ, which is insufficient to confirm the presence of new physics. To address these and other unanswered questions in the flavour sector, the available data sample need to be expanded.

Luminous future  

The LHCb experiment will operate at Run 3 at an increased instantaneous luminosity, and with an improved data acquisition system. Together, this will enable a 10-fold increase of the sample size. The price to pay for this increased luminosity is the daunting number of overlapping collisions in a single proton-bunch crossing, which makes the task of sifting through billions of collisions to identify interesting topologies a challenge. Novel technologies such as graphics processing units have been incorporated in LHCb’s trigger system to speed up the processing of busy hadronic events, while new detectors have been built to reconstruct charged particle tracks, find the vertex position and to identify the particle species using state-of-the-art readout electronics (CERN Courier May/June 2022 p38). The LHCb upgrades completed during LS2 will also serve the experiment for Run 4 beginning in 2029, which is the start of the ambitious High-Luminosity LHC (HL-LHC) project. 

CKM unitarity triangle

During the next few years of Run 3, the LHCb experiment is expected to collect an integrated luminosity of 20–25 fb–1 (compared to 6 fb–1 in Run 2). This will enable significant improvements on the precision of CP-violation observables and rare B-decay measurements. The expectation is to improve the precision on possible CP violation in Bs0 – Bs0 mixing to 10–3, on CP violation in the interference between mixing and decay in Bs → J/ψϕ decays to about 14 mrad, and on the CKM angle γ to 1.5°. Further probes of possible lepton-flavour non-universality are another key target. The ratios of electroweak penguin processes involving b → sℓℓ transitions, R(K) and R(K*), are expected to be determined with a precision between three to two per cent, and ratios of semileptonic b → cℓν processes R(D*) to a precision below one per cent (see “Anomaly squeeze” figure). 

The flavour sector delivered a great harvest in the first 10 years of LHC operations

The flavour programme in the era of the HL-LHC is even more rich and diverse. Many directions are being pursued, including precision measurements targeting CP violation and mixing in charm and beauty, and measurements of CP-conserving quantities such as the magnitudes of the CKM elements Vub, Vcb and Vtb. The end goal is to study every possible constraint to scrutinise the overall CKM picture within the SM (see “Triangulating” figure). Regarding the anomalous b → sℓℓ and b → cℓν transitions, the long-term projections for the LHC experiments are clear: if new phenomena are found, then their detailed characteristics will be established. The large data sample at the end of the HL-LHC will also allow tests of lepton-flavour violation in b → sℓℓ transitions involving tau leptons. The power of such indirect searches is their ability to elucidate the energy scale at which new particles might be present, and could point the way for the next generation of colliders.

The flavour sector delivered a great harvest in the first 10 years of LHC operations: new particles and new forms of matter were discovered, new behaviour of matter was established, stringent constraints on the CKM matrix were set and intriguing flavour anomalies have appeared. That success is only the beginning. The higher luminosity phase of the LHC beginning with Run 3 will undoubtedly generate further knowledge of particle physics, and might unveil deeper layers of nature beyond the SM.

Pushing the precision frontier

A candidate vector-boson-scattering event at CMS

Confronted with multiple questions about how nature works at the smallest scales, we exploit precise measurements of the Standard Model (SM) to seek possible answers. Those answers could further confirm the SM or give hints of new phenomena. As a hadron collider, the LHC was primarily built as a discovery machine. After more than a decade of operation, however, it has surpassed expectations. Alongside the discovery of the Higgs boson and a broad programme of direct searches for new phenomena, ultra-precise measurements on a wide range of parameters have been carried out. These include particle masses, the width of the Z boson and the production cross-sections of various SM processes ranging over 10 orders of magnitude (see “Cross sections” figure); the latter are connected to a multitude of measurements including differential distributions and particle properties.

An example that is unique to the LHC is the measurement of the Higgs-boson mass, which was determined to a precision of 0.12% by CMS in 2019. Also of vital importance are the strengths of the Higgs-boson couplings to other known particles (see “Coupling strengths” figure). According to the SM, these couplings must be proportional to a particle’s mass. Nicely following the SM expectation, every coupling in this plot is extracted using various measurements of the Higgs-boson production and decay channels. Besides the remarkable agreement with the SM, the plot shows the result of the Higgs-boson decay to muons, which is challenging to measure because of the muon’s small mass. 

Production cross section of various SM processes

The LHC-experiment collaborations are currently concluding their Run 2 measurements using proton-collision data recorded at 13 TeV while getting ready for the Run 3 startup. From several notable achievements with the Run 2 data, one can point to the measurement of a fundamental parameter of the SM, the mass of the W boson with a precision of 0.02% by ATLAS and of 0.04% in the forward region by LHCb (see “W mass” figure). Precision measurements of the W-boson mass are crucial for testing the consistency of the SM, as radiative corrections connect it with the masses of the top quark and the Higgs boson. A future combination of the LHCb result with similar measurements from ATLAS and CMS can reduce the significant uncertainty of parton distribution functions on this parameter. Although the particle masses are crucial elements of the SM, it is not always possible to determine them directly. In the case of quarks, except for the heaviest top quark, their immediate hadronisation makes the properties of a bare quark inaccessible. Observed for the first time by ALICE, the QCD “dead cone” (an angular region of suppressed gluon emissions surrounding a heavy quark that is proportional to the quark’s mass) in charmed jets may be a possible way to ultimately access the heavy-quark mass directly. 

The coupling structure of the SM, especially between heavy particles, is another key aspect that is being pinned down by ATLAS and CMS. In 2017 the experiments marked an important milestone in this regard with the observation of WW scattering – a first step in a diverse programme of measurements of vector boson scattering (VBS), in which vector bosons emitted from each of the incoming quarks interact with one other (see “Critical physics” image). As VBS processes are sensitive to the self-interaction of four gauge bosons as well as to the exchange of a virtual Higgs boson, they remain a central part of the LHC physics programme during Run 3 and beyond, where the additional data will become a decisive factor.

Run 3 preparations 

The LHC is about to start a new endeavour at an unprecedented energy (13.6 TeV as opposed to 13 TeV) and with an instantaneous luminosity on average 1.5 times higher than in Run 2. In addition to higher statistics, the larger energy reach of Run 3 provides a unique opportunity to study unexplored territories in the kinematic phase space of particles. Prime targets are regions where the discovery of possible new phenomena is mainly awaiting additional data, and those where the insufficient size of the data sample is the main limiting factor on the precision.

Measurements of the mass of the W boson compared to the SM prediction

A major challenge ahead is the increased number of additional interactions within the same or nearby bunch crossings, called pileup. The large rate of interactions puts strain on different parts of the detectors as well as their trigger systems. Relying on cutting-edge technologies, experiments at the LHC have performed extensive upgrades in several subsystems, hardware and software to cope with the associated complexities and exploit the full potential of the data. In some cases, this has involved the installation of new detectors or an entire renewal, or extension, of existing subdetectors. Examples are the New Small Wheel (NSW) muon detector in ATLAS and the muon gas electron multiplier (GEM) detectors in CMS. These gas-based detectors, which are designed in view of the High-Luminosity LHC (HL-LHC) and will be partially operational during Run 3, are installed in the endcap area of the experiments where a significant increase is expected in the particle flux. The improved muon momentum resolution they bring also plays a critical role in the trigger systems by keeping the rate low. 

It is now proven that with advanced analysis strategies we can surpass the expectations from projection studies

In the ALICE experiment, among other important upgrades, the inner tracker system has faced a complete renewal of the silicon-based detectors for enhanced low-momentum vertexing and tracking capabilities. At LHCb, in addition to new front-end electronics for higher-rate triggering and readout, the ring-imaging Cherenkov detector has been upgraded to deal with the large-pileup environment, while a brand new vertex locator and tracking system will allow the reconstruction of charged particles. In parallel to the hardware, the LHC experiments have accomplished a substantial upgrade in software and computing, including the implementation of fast readout systems and the use of state-of-the-art graphics processing units.

Physics ahead 

The series of upgrades undertaken during Long Shutdown 2 will enable the experiments to pursue a rich physics programme during Run 3 and to get ready for Run 4 at the HL-LHC. The preparation also involves Monte Carlo event generation at the new centre-of-mass energy, full simulation of collision events in the new detectors, and designing new methods with modern tools to identify particles and analyse the data. The additional data of Run 3, together with innovative analysis techniques, will result in reduced uncertainties and therefore push the precision frontier forward. The experience from Run 2 is of great value in this regard. 

Predicted vs measured values of the coupling strengths between the Higgs boson and other SM particles

It is now proven that with advanced analysis strategies which make maximal use of the available data, we can surpass the expectations from projection studies. An example is the Higgs-boson decay to muons. Whereas early Run 3 projections suggested an uncertainty of about 20% with 300 fb–1 of LHC data, in 2020 the CMS experiment achieved such precision using Run 2 data alone. In the latest projections, a further improvement of 30–35% is expected thanks to the advanced analysis strategies developed during Run 2. The projected uncertainties in Higgs-boson couplings to other SM particles, including vector bosons and third-generation leptons, are also expected to be reduced. The Higgs-boson interaction with the heaviest known particle, the top quark, is of particular interest as it may give insights into the existence and energy scale of new physics above 100 GeV. Besides the famous ttH process, simultaneous production of four top quarks is also very sensitive to the top quark’s Yukawa interaction with the Higgs boson. Exhibiting the heaviest SM final state, “four-top” is one of the rarest but most important processes. Following evidence reported by ATLAS in 2021, Run 3 data may fully establish its observation. 

Among rare processes that may shed light on electroweak symmetry breaking, one can point to the VBS production of longitudinally polarised W bosons. The longitudinal polarisation is a result of electroweak symmetry breaking through which vector bosons acquire mass from their interaction with the Brout–Englert–Higgs field. Given that the analysis of Run 2 data has reached the expected significance (about 1σ) of the HL-LHC with the same luminosity, we look forward to Run 3 to test the SM with more data and further channels.

Run 3 excitement

The excitement about LHC Run 3 is not restricted to rare phenomena and new discoveries. Well-established processes such as top-quark, W- and Z-boson production are pivotal for a firm understanding of the SM. The upcoming data will provide us with gigantic statistics that translates to a significantly higher precision on the measured properties of these particles in addition to various fundamental parameters of the SM. The latter include the mass of the top quark, the precise determination of which is a critical factor in the stability of vacuum. Early Run 3 projection studies predicted an uncertainty of 1.5 GeV on the top-quark mass. This has already been achieved in Run 2 using tt differential cross-section measurements, and will be further reduced with the upcoming Run 3 data.

The upcoming data will provide us with gigantic statistics that translate to significantly higher precision

Such levels of precision also provide invaluable feedback to the theory community, whose tremendous efforts in modelling and state-of-the-art calculations and simulations are the basis of our measurements. Thanks to the increasing sophistication and precision of SM calculations, any statistically significant deviation from theory can be an unambiguous sign of new physics. Therefore, precision measurements in Run 3 can act as a gateway to new discoveries. These include measurements of properties such as vector-boson polarisation, which are sensitive to new physics by construction, inclusive cross sections of VBS and other rare processes, and differential distributions where new phenomena can appear in the tails.

In October 2021, stable proton beams were circulated and collided at a centre-of-mass energy of 900 GeV in the LHC for the first time since 2018. While preparing for the start up in May this year, the experiments made use of these data for a special period of commissioning to ensure their readiness to collect data in Run 3. The successful outcome of the commissioning brought further enthusiasm and motivation to the LHC-experiment collaborations, who very much look forward to executing their far-reaching Run 3 physics plans.

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